Today’s the day, ladies and gentlemen.
One drama-filled Championship Saturday later, we are now left with 6 contenders for 4 spots. So…. Who’s In?
The CFP Selection Show gets underway at noon – probably a few minutes from now when you’re reading this – so we don’t have a ton of time to spare.
Here are my final predictions for how the Top 4 shake out today:
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
Boy, I don’t envy the CFP selection committee right now.
Why? Well, the Washington-Penn State decision is much more than just that. If the committee decides to keep the 11-2 Big Ten Champion Nittany Lions out, it will really be Ohio State over Penn State. Which, as you know, was not the case when the teams met earlier this year.
Theoretically, it wouldn’t make much sense at all to have the Buckeyes in and PSU out. But since to me, it would make even less sense for the committee to knock the Buckeyes from no. 2 to outside the playoff, I think they put Penn State in over Washington.
The three biggest reasons why:
- The Big Ten Champion has got to be in. The conference has been too good for that not to happen.
- Simply put: Penn State has a better resume than Washington. Yeah, each team would have the least convincing resume of the three other playoff teams, but I’m taking wins over Ohio State and Wisconsin over wins over Colorado and Stanford and the second-worst non-conference schedule in the country.
- Like I said, Penn State beat OSU. Penn State also won the Big Ten. That’s two things that make it sound ridiculous that Penn State might miss out and OSU gets in.
Besides that, the other big question is who plays who. We know that Alabama will be the no. 1 seed, so the big question is Ohio State or Clemson. I think Clemson gets the nod, as despite their near-loss to Virginia Tech last night, they won a conference championship. I think the committee has already devalued the conference championship enough this year to keep division runner-up Ohio State ahead of Clemson.
And about Michigan? Personally, I think it’s crazy that Michigan still has a shot in most people’s eyes. For the Wolverines to get in, the committee would have to choose a team that didn’t even crack the top two in its division over Pac-12 champion Washington and Big Ten champion Penn State. Yeah, Michigan beat Penn State pretty bad, and the committee said that Washington vs Michigan for the 4th spot in this past week’s ranking took hours to decide, but that just isn’t logical. I’m not completely ruling it out, because you really never know with college sports committees, but I seriously doubt it.
NEW YEAR’S SIX PREDICTIONS
(ACC vs Big Ten/SEC)
(Pac-12 vs Big Ten)
(Big 12 vs SEC)
(At large vs At large)